課程資訊
課程名稱
專題研究:樂透悖論
Independent Study: The Lottery Paradox 
開課學期
110-1 
授課對象
文學院  哲學研究所  
授課教師
鄧敦民 
課號
Phl8833 
課程識別碼
124 D2540 
班次
 
學分
1.0 
全/半年
半年 
必/選修
選修 
上課時間
星期五2(9:10~10:00) 
上課地點
哲研討室二 
備註
本課程中文授課,使用英文教科書。請先徵得授課教師及申請者同意後,始得選課。
限博士班 且 限本系所學生(含輔系、雙修生)
總人數上限:3人 
 
課程簡介影片
 
核心能力關聯
核心能力與課程規劃關聯圖
課程大綱
為確保您我的權利,請尊重智慧財產權及不得非法影印
課程概述

我們普遍同意我們並不知道手上的樂透不會中獎,但許多日常命題(ordinary proposition)都會蘊含如此的「樂透命題」(lottery proposition),於是這威脅到了我們對於日常命題的知識。值得注意的是,樂透命題比常見的懷疑論劇本還更有辯證上的效力(dialectically effective),畢竟許多哲學家會嘗試以各種方式來主張我們可以知道自己不是桶中腦。這個問題在近年的文獻中受到相當廣泛的討論,而本專題課將聚焦在關於「封閉性原則」(closure principle)的議題,探討「脈絡論」(contextualism)與「不變論」(invariantism)這兩條進路。 

課程目標
本課程目標在於使學生
(1) 完整掌握關於樂透悖論的議題;
(2) 對於主要的兩個立場有些基本的理解;
(3) 發展自己的觀點。 
課程要求
每週閱讀指定內容,並寫作短文,定期討論。 
預期每週課後學習時數
 
Office Hours
 
指定閱讀
Brown, Jessica (2008). Knowledge and practical reason. Philosophy Compass 3 (6):1135-1152.
Brown, Jessica (2012). Practial reasoning, decision theory and anti-intellectualism. Episteme 9 (1):1-20.
Cohen, Stewart (2004). Knowledge, assertion, and practical reasoning. Philosophical Issues 14 (1):482–491.
Douven, Igor & Williamson, Timothy (2006). Generalizing the lottery paradox. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 57 (4):755-779.
Hacking, I. (2001). An Introduction to Probability and Inductive Logic. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Hawthorne, J. and Bovens, L. (1999). "The Preface, the Lottery, and the Logic of Belief", Mind, 108: 241–264.
Hawthorne, John (2002). Lewis, the lottery and the preface. Analysis 62 (3):242–251.
Hawthorne, John (2003). Knowledge and Lotteries. Oxford University Press.
Ichikawa, Jonathan (2011). Quantifiers and epistemic contextualism. Philosophical Studies 155 (3):383-398.
Lewis, D. (1996). "Elusive Knowledge", Australasian Journal of Philosophy, 74, pp. 549–67.
Nelkin, Dana K. (2000). The lottery paradox, knowledge, and rationality. Philosophical Review 109 (3):373-409.
Reed, Baron (2008). Fallibilism and the Lottery paradox.
Reed, Baron (2010). A defense of stable invariantism. Noûs 44 (2):224-244. Proceedings of the xxii World Congress of Philosophy 53:217-225.
Smith, Donald (2005). Knowledge and lotteries. Philosophical Books 46 (2):123-131.
 
參考書目
Brown, Jessica (2008). Knowledge and practical reason. Philosophy Compass 3 (6):1135-1152.
Brown, Jessica (2012). Practial reasoning, decision theory and anti-intellectualism. Episteme 9 (1):1-20.
Cohen, Stewart (2004). Knowledge, assertion, and practical reasoning. Philosophical Issues 14 (1):482–491.
Douven, Igor & Williamson, Timothy (2006). Generalizing the lottery paradox. British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 57 (4):755-779.
Hacking, I. (2001). An Introduction to Probability and Inductive Logic. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Hawthorne, J. and Bovens, L. (1999). "The Preface, the Lottery, and the Logic of Belief", Mind, 108: 241–264.
Hawthorne, John (2002). Lewis, the lottery and the preface. Analysis 62 (3):242–251.
Hawthorne, John (2003). Knowledge and Lotteries. Oxford University Press.
Ichikawa, Jonathan (2011). Quantifiers and epistemic contextualism. Philosophical Studies 155 (3):383-398.
Lewis, D. (1996). "Elusive Knowledge", Australasian Journal of Philosophy, 74, pp. 549–67.
Nelkin, Dana K. (2000). The lottery paradox, knowledge, and rationality. Philosophical Review 109 (3):373-409.
Reed, Baron (2008). Fallibilism and the Lottery paradox.
Reed, Baron (2010). A defense of stable invariantism. Nous 44 (2):224-244. Proceedings of the xxii World Congress of Philosophy 53:217-225.
Smith, Donald (2005). Knowledge and lotteries. Philosophical Books 46 (2):123-131. 
評量方式
(僅供參考)
 
No.
項目
百分比
說明
1. 
專文寫作 
100% 
 
 
課程進度
週次
日期
單元主題
第1週
9/24  Introducing the puzzle 
第2週
10/01  Assertion, probability, practical reasoning 
第3週
10/08  Single-premise closure and Multi-premise closure 
第4週
10/15  Puzzles connected to closure 
第5週
10/22  Closure and junk knowledge 
第6週
10/29  Easy knowledge and closure 
第7週
11/05  Question-sensitivity 
第8週
11/12  Contextualism and lotteries 
第9週
11/19  Knowledge and objective chance 
第10週
11/26  The threat from conjunction introduction 
第11週
12/03  Skeptical invariantism 
第12週
12/10  Error theory 
第13週
12/17  The successful Moorean 
第14週
12/24  Simple moderate invariantism 
第15週
12/31  Sensitive moderate invariantism 
第16週
1/07  From ascriber-dependence to subject-dependence 
第17週
1/14  Salience 
第18週
1/21  Misleading evidence